From heliophysics to space weather forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Synthesizing Weather Forecasts from Formatted Data
This paper describes a system (RAREAS) which synthesizes marine weather forecasts directly from formatted weather data. Such synthesis appem~ feasible in certain natural sublanguages with stereotyped text structure. RAREAS draws on several kinds of linguistic and non-linguistic knowledge and mirrors a forecaster's apparent tendency to ascribe less precise temporal adverbs to more remote meteoro...
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Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio equal to a linear combination of the inputs. As any statistical model, logistic models will suffer from over-fitting if the number of inputs is comparable to th...
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While people need to know tomorrow’s weather to decide suitable activities and precautions, so do the “intelligent” building management systems. The accuracy of the short-term prediction of the ambient conditions is particularly import for the development of predictive control strategies. Although the shortterm prediction methods for outside air temperature have been extensively studied, reliab...
متن کاملHow to communicate uncertainty in severe weather forecasts?
Communicating uncertainty to lay audiences is as challenging as indispensible if people are to understand medical test results, gains from financial investments, or weather warnings. Compared to risk communication in the medical domain, there is so far only limited evidence on how to best communicate uncertainty for continuous quantities, such as financial returns or wind speeds (Spiegelhalter ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Astronomy & Geophysics
سال: 2019
ISSN: 1366-8781,1468-4004
DOI: 10.1093/astrogeo/atz178